TENTH INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC SCHOOL
in SAINT-PETERSBURG, RUSSIA, JULY 6 - 10, 2010
"MODELLING and ANALYSIS of SAFETY and RISK
in COMPLEX SYSTEMS" (MA SR - 2010)
STATUS
The anniversary Tenth International Scientific School "Modeling and Analysis of Safety and Risk in Complex Systems (MASR - 2010)" will be held in Saint-Petersburg, Russia, July 6 - 10, 2010. The School will be organized by Institute of Problems of Mechanical Engineering of Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Saint-Petersburg Institute of Informatics and Automation of RAS and Bureau of Credit Risk Estimation and Analysis "INO_TEL" Ltd. with the support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research.
Leading and well-known scientists will give lectures in the field of financial, social, informational and technical risks. The scientific program includes reports and software demonstrations. All participants will have the possibility to see the wonderful city Saint-Petersburg.
The official languages of the School are English and Russian.
The main research areas to be discussed at the School in the year 2010 are:
|
1. |
Problems of development of I3 - technologies (intellectual, informational, innovative) for management of risk and efficiency in economic and technical systems under statistical data; |
|
2. |
Development of models for successful decision of complex problems; |
|
3. |
The consideration of methods of quantitative estimation, analysis, forecasting and management of risk and efficiency in economics, engineering and medicine; |
|
4. |
Consideration of types of events under statistical data, classes of logical and probabilistic models of risk and efficiency, procedures of I3 - technologies; |
|
5. |
Forecasting of risk and crisis in complex systems; |
|
6. |
Consideration of applications of I3 - technologies in economics and engineering; |
|
7. |
The development of relations between different areas of risk theory application. |
TOPICS
These following more specific topics will be discussed at the School:
Market Risk;
Operational Risk;
Credit Risk;
Security Portfolio Risk;
Classes of Logical and Probabilistic (LP) Risk Models for I3 - technologies: LP-modeling, LP-classification, LP-efficiency, LP-forecasting;
Procedures of I3 - Technologies: Construction, Identification, Analysis, Forecasting and Risk Management, Software Development;
Operative and Strategic Management of Risk and Efficiency in Complex Systems;
Forecasting of Risk and Crisis in Economic Systems;
I3 - Technology Models in Applications;
Training, Testing and Accuracy of Risk Models;
LP Analysis of Risk and Efficiency in Social and Economic Systems;
Risk Models in Macro- and MicroEconomics;
Models for successful decision of complex problems;
Risk of Bribes and Corruption.
b) Risk Models in Engineering and Ecology
Risk Models in Nuclear Power Engineering;
Scenarios and Models of Safety and Failure Risk;
Logical and Probabilistic Risk Models for Systems with Multi-State Elements;
Identification and Optimization in Risk Problems;
Analysis and Management of Risk and Efficiency by Statistical Data;
Software for Modeling and Analysis of Risk and Efficiency;
Software Reliability.
Safety and Risk Models in Medicine
Hospital Risk Management;
Models of Patient Safety Estimation;
Clinical Risk Assessment Methods;
Information Systems for Risk Management in Hospitals;
Methods of Estimation of Medical Staff Mistakes Probability;
Medical Equipment Reliability.
INTERNATIONAL PROGRAM COMMITTEE
Chairman:
N. Machutov, corresponding member RAS (Russia, IME RAS),
Co-chairmen:
A. Agarwal, Professor (India, IIF & IIFBS),
I.I. Eliseeva, Corresponding Member of RAS (Russia, St.PSUEF),
K. Giannopoulos, Professor (UAE, British University in Dubai),
V.I. Khimenko, Professor (Russia, SPbSUAI),
I.A. Ryabinin, Professor (Russia, Naval Academy),
E.D. Solojentsev, Professor (Russia, IPME RAS).
|
Bochkov A.V. (Russia, VNIIGAZ) |
Mozhaev A.S. (Russia, Sevzapmontazhautomatika) |
|
Finkelstein M.S. (S. Africa, University of Free State) |
Popentiu F. (UK, City University, UNESCO Chair) |
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Indeitsev D.A. (Russia, IPME RAS) |
Righini R. (ENEA, Italy) |
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Khimenko V.I. (Russia) |
Rotshtein A. (Israel)(USA) |
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Kumamoto H. (Japan, Kyoto University) |
Tsiramua S.G. (Georgia, Tbilisi University) |
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Matrosov V.M. (Russia, IME RAS) |
Volik B.G. (Russia, IPC RAS) |
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Morosov N.F.(Russia, SPSU) |
Yusupov R.M.(Russia, SPII RAS) |
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Acerbi C. (Abax Bank) |
Nikulin M.S. (France, University Bordeaux) |
|
Barone-Adesi (Switzerland) G. |
Novoselov A.A. (Russia, ICM SB RAS) |
|
Clark E. (UK, Journal "Frontiers in Finance and Economics") |
Odinets V.P. (Russia) |
|
Esipov V.E. (Russia) |
Peaucelle I. (France, CNRS/CEPREMAP) |
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Gallais-Hamonno G. (France, French Finance Association) |
Rogov M. (Russia, "Dubna" University) |
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Gallo G. (Italy, University of Florence) |
Roy N. (USA, Education Committee of PRMIA) |
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Golembiovsky D.Yu. (Russia, Bank "ZENIT") |
Rutkauskas A.V. (Lithuania, VGTU) |
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Hovanov N.V. (Russia, SPSU) |
Sorwar G. (UK, The University of Nottingham) |
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Kibzun A.I. (Russia, MIA) |
Stepanov A.G. (Russia, SPbSUAI) |
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Lenz H.-J., (Germany, Freie Universitat) |
Tzavalis E. (Greece, Athens University of Economics & Business) |
|
Lesnykh V.V. (Russia, VNIIGAZ) |
Uryasev S. (USA, University of Florida)Vitlinsky V.V.(Ukraine, KNEU) |
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Sarbesh M. (India, NICMAR's CISC) |
Vitlinsky V.V.(Ukraine, KNEU) |
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Djuk V.A. (Russia, SPII RAS) |
Ramaswamy M. (Oman, Ministry of Health) |
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Rahim Y. (Italy, University of Torino) |
Trehan N. (India, Escorts Research Institute) |
E.D. Solojentsev, Professor, (Russia, IPME RAS) - chairman,
V.V. Karasev (Russia, IPME RAS) - secretary,
B.V. Sokolov (Russia, SPII RAS),
E.I. Karaseva (Russia, SPbSUAI).
Authors who wish to participate in the School should send a paper or brief thesis of lecture to
adm@inotel.org or inorisk@gmail.com,
before April 15, 2010
as Microsoft Word file (not more 6 pages, type 11pt). Prior publication all papers will be peer refereed.
We will send the invitation to authors of accepted papers before May 1, 2010 by E_mail.
Please, download the rules of paper's writing for publication in MA SR - 2010 Proceedings (MS WORD file, 26.0 kb).
Please, fill in and send us registration form (MS WORD file, 26.0 kb).
The accepted papers will be published as Proceedings of the School by support of Russian Foundation for Basic Research and sponsors. Detailed information about participants, sponsors and the program of the School will be posted on http://www.inotel.org/masrconference/ .
The Organizing Committee is inviting any other interested parties to support financially the School. Sponsors will be honorary guests of the School. Sponsors may place their logotypes and advertising in School's exhibition hall, School's website and all printing materials.
___________________________________________________________________
Tuesday, July 6
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 1, Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman N.V. Hovanov
|
1000- 1030 |
Opening of the International Scientific School MA SR - 2010. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- Maydanovich O.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Military Academy named A.F. Mozhaysky), Ohtilev M.Yu., Sokolov B.V., Yusupov R.M. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPII RAS), Tsivirko E.G. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Informatics and Communication Committee, Saint-Petersburg Administration).Quantitative and Qualitative Assessment of Information Technologies Influence on the Effectiveness of Control Systems of Complex Objects. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- Ostrejkovsky V.A. (Russia, Surgut, Surgut State University), Saakyan S.P. (Russia, Obninsk, National Research Nuclear University). Definition Models of Initial Events Probabilities by Methods of Accidents Theory. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- Kapur K.C., Li Zh. (USA, Seattle, University of Washington). New Models Based On Fuzzy Sets For Reliability/Safety Analysis. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- Ryabinin I.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Naval Academy). Logical and Probabilistic Analysis and Its Modern Possibilities. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- Solojentsev E.D. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, IPME RAS). About Development of Scientific Centers "I3-Technologies in Economics". |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- Mellios C. (France, Paris, University of Paris). Optimal Dynamic Demands in Commodity Futures Markets with a Stochastic Convenience Yield. |
Section "Risk in Finance", Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman V.V. Vitlinsky
|
1500-1520 |
- Kovalenko G.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Saint-Petersburg State Polytechnical University), Fonkats A.G. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, LO TSNIIS). About Problem of Risk-Analysis Quality in Business Planning. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Vitlinsky V.V., Skitsko V.I. (Ukraine, Kyiv, Vadym Hetman Kyiv National Economic University). Forecasting of Enterprise Credit Risk with Use I3-Technologies. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Shishkin V.M., Savkov S.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPII RAS). The Technique of Arithmetizing for the Incomplete Heterogeneous Initial Information and Risk Profile Identification. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Gritsyuk P.M. (Ukraine, Rovno, National University of Water Industry and Nature Management). Grain Production Forecasting as the Tool for Providing Food Safety of the State. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Kustitskaya T.A. (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Siberian Federal University). Measure CVaR, Its Modifications and Its Place Among Coherent Risk Measures. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Cortazar G. (Chile, Santiago, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile), Bernales A. (UK, Manchester, University of Manchester), Beuermann D.W. (USA, Tydings Hall College Park, University of Maryland). Value-At-Risk in Emerging Markets. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Udovenko V.A. (Ukraine, Krivoy Rog, Vadym Hetman Krivoy Rog Economic University). Modeling of manager's states in economic system. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- Babenkov A.N. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPbSUAI). Construction of LP Risk Model for Failure of Structural Complex Economic System. |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 22, IBI
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500-1520 |
- Gladkova I.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Closed Joint Stock Company "TELROS"). Determinated sections of a general logical-probabilistic method. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Yakovlev S.Yu., Ryzhenko A.A., Isakevich N.V. (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Kola Science Centre of the RAS). Working out of a Plans for Prevention and Liquidation of Mineral Oil Floods on a Territorial Objects. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Struzhanov V.V., Privalova V.V. (Russia, Ekaterinburg, Russian Academy of Sciences Ural Branch Institute of Engineering Science). The Identification of Limited Loads Which Produce a Critical Tension in Technical Systems. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Yastrebenetsky M.A. (Ukraine, Kharkov, State Scientific Technical Center of Nuclear and Radiation Safety). Safety Regulation for Nuclear Power Plants Control Systems. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Kostyuk L.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg). 50 Years of Survivability and Safety Science. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Zhigulsky V.A., Shuisky V.F., Solovey N.A., Zabolotskaya O.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, LLC " Eco-Express-Service "). Designing of maritime ports: environmental risk assessment and control. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Grigoriev Yu.D. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, State Electrical University). About one regression problem of the distance-measuring navigation. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- Zolotukhin V., Chukarin A., Zakharov A. (Russia, Rostov-na-Donu, Rostov Military Institute). Estimation of Toughness of Potentially Dangerous Objects on Stage of Pre-Destruction under Conditions of Non-determination and Invisibility. |
___________________________________________________________________
Wednesday, July 7
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 2, Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1000 - 1030 |
- Rogov M.A. (Russia, Moscow, The International University of Dubna). Granger casuality test for credit risks and global risk factor cointegration. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- Hovanov N.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Saint-Petersburg State University). Prediction of Values of Financial and Economic Indicator on Basis of Synthesis of Expert and Statistical Information. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- Belyaev K., Belyaeva A. (Czech Republic, Prague, Ceskoslovenska obchodni banka). Application of Cox regression for LGD (loss given default) modeling. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- Feria-Dominguez J.M., Jimenez-Rodriguez E.J., Martin-Marin J.L., Taboada-Noguer A. (Spain, Seville, Pablo De Olavide University). Over-Dispersion Loss Frequency: Empirical Implications on Capital at Risk (CAR). |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- Pustylnik P.N. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Russian State Pedagogic University by Gertsen A.I.). Logical and Probabilistic Model of the Risk Weighting of the Lack of Success of the Strategic Management for Composite Structured System. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- Lamy M.-Fl. (France, Rouen, Rouen Business School). Comment On Strengthening The Resilience Of The Banking Sector. |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- Uzhga-Rebrov O. (Latvia, Rezekne, Rezekne Higher Educational Institution), Kuleshova G. (Latvia, Riga, Riga Technical University). Modelling And Management Of Risks Related To Decision Horizon Expansion. |
Section "Risk in Finance", Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman A.A. Novosyolov
|
1500-1520 |
- Belousova L.V. (Russia, Dubna, International University of Nature, Society and Man "Dubna").Popular Business Strategies in Russia During Current Subprime Crisis and Risk Management Perspectives. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Kaminsky A.B., Solomka Ya.V. (Ukraine, Kyiv, Taras Shevchenko National University Of Kyiv). Measuring of asymmetry risk on the market of collective investments. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Harin A.A. (Russia, Moscow, Modern University for the Humanities, Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology). The Theorem of Existence of Ruptures in the Probability Scale As a Mathematical Basis of the Principle of Uncertain Future. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Bochkov A.V., Krichevskaya A. S. (Russia, Moscovskaya obl. Leninsky r-n, p. Razvilka, LLC Gazprom VNIIGAZ). About the Construction of Rational Strategy of Operating Risk Situational Management. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Grabusts P.S. (Latvia, Rezekne, Rezekne Higher Educational Institution). Evaluation of Bankruptcy Risks' Analysis Possibilities. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Alexeev V.V., Karasev V.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, IPME RAS). Training and Control of LP Risk Models Under Statistical Data. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Apatova N.V., Malkov S.V. (Ukraine, Crimea, Simferopol, Tavrida National University named V.I. Vernadsky). Sales Risks in Virtual Space. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- Kopchinskaya V.V. (Ukraine, Zhytomyr, The State Agroecological University). Application of anticrisis management with taking to consideration the risk of project financing. |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 22, IBI
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500-1520 |
- Solojentsev E.D. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, IPME RAS). Estimation, Analysis and Management of Risk of Invalidity of Complex Processes and Systems. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Ostrejkovsky V.A., Shevchenko E.N. (Russia, Surgut, Surgut State University). The Technogenic Risk Modeling Based on Analysis of Multi-Dimensional Distribution Function of Accidental Values of Probability and Losses. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Afanasiev V.V., Loginov S.S., Tsentsevitsky A.A. (Russia, Kazan, Kazan State Technical University). Nonharmonic Spectral Analysis Signals in Express Diagnostics of Multimode Electronic Technical Systems. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Sukach E.I., Ratobilskaja D.V., Kamornikova T. Ja. (Belarus, Gomel, Francisk Skorina Gomel State University). Probability-algebraic modeling of functionally complex systems. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Vitsentiy A.V. (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Kola Science Centre of the RAS). The Package Selection Problem Solution for the Damage Reduction to the Technological Objects Using Risk Assessment Information System. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Zolotarev V., Danilova E., Vereshagin S., Khokholya A. (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Siberian State Aerospace University). Information Risk Model On Zwicky Approach. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Utkin L.V., Iluschenko V.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Saint-Petersburg State Forestry Engineering Academy). Risk Situations in a Problem of Saw-Timber Defect Delimitation. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- Zolotukhin V., Martemyanov S., Reva V. (Russia, Rostov-on-Don, Rostov Military Institute). Estimation of Probability of Appearance of Groups of Objects with Especially Dangerous Parameter Under Conditions of Multiplex Invisibility and Non-Determination. |
___________________________________________________________________
Thursday, July 8
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 3, Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman N.V. Hovanov
|
1000 - 1030 |
- Strukov A.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPIK SZMA). Interval Estimation of Reliability of Complex Structural Systems Based on Binomial Tests of Its Components. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- Mondello G. (France, University of Nice Sophia Antipolis). The Social Acceptance Of Capped Strict Liability Regimes. |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- Sigal A.V. (Ukraine, Crimea, Simferopol, Tavrida National University named V.I. Vernadsky). Risk Modeling Of Changes In The Price Based On The Use Of Games With Incomplete Information. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- Karasev V.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, IPME RAS). I3-Technologies of Management of Risk and Efficiency in Economics. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- Prokhorov A., Panchenko V. (Canada, Montreal, Concordia University). Efficient estimation of parameters in marginals in semiparametric multivariate models. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- Kulik B.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, IPME RAS). What Is Deduction ? |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- Shorikov A.F. (Russia, Ekaterinburg, Urals State University of Economics). Minimax Optimization for Terminal Control Problem in Hierarchical Two-Level Discrete-Time Dynamical System with Risk and Uncertainty. |
Section "Risk in Finance", Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman V.V. Vitlinsky
|
1500-1520 |
- Vitlinsky V.V. (Ukraine, Kyiv, Vadym Hetman Kyiv National Economic University), Makhanets L.L. (Ukraine, Chernivtsy, Chernivtsy National University named Yu. Fedkovich). Application of Econophysics to Reduce the Risk Prediction of Investment Flows. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Goldenok E.E. (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Krasnoyarsk State Institute of Economics and Trade, Siberian Federal University, Institute of Mathematics), Lukyanova N.A. (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk State Institute of Economics and Trade), Semenova D.V. (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Institute of Mathematics, Siberian Federal University). Wide Dependence Theory in Eventological Scoring. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Karaseva E.I. (Russia, Saint-Petrsburg, SPbSUAI). I3 - Technologies for Management of Operational Risks in Bank. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Pesikov E.B. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, North-Western Institute of Polygraphy, Saint-Petersburg University of Technology and Design). Management Optimization of Risks of a Virtual Enterprise. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Slepov D.S. (Russia, Krasnoyarsk, Krasnoyarsk State Trade and Economic Institute, Siberian Federal University). About Sigel's Paradox and Risk-Neutral Estimations. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Sokolov B.V., Zelentsov V.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPII RAS), Fridman A.Ya. (Russia, Apatity, Institute for Informatics and Mathematical Modelling of Kola Science Centre of the RAS), Ivanov D.A. (Germany, Chemnitz, Technological University), Asanovich V.Ya. (Belarus, Minsk, Belarussian State Economic University). Methods and Algorithms of Efficiency Multicriteria Evaluation of Joint Restructuring of Information and Business Systems. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Rybalchenko S.A. (Ukraine, Kyiv, Tares Shevchenko national university of Kyiv). Distribution Selection For Insurance Risk Modeling. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- Stepanenko O.P. (Ukraine, Kyiv, Vadym Hetman Kiev National Economic University). Controlling Risks of the Banking System: Ukrainian Experience. |
Section "Risk in Medicine", Auditorium 22, IBI
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500 - 1520 |
- Levitskaya S.A. (Ukraine, Chernivtsy, Bukovinian State Medical University). The Mistakes in Diagnostics and Treatment of Children's Purulent Sinusitis. |
|
1520- 1540 |
- Verzilin D.N. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPII RAS), Maximova T.G. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Saint-Petersburg Trade and Economic Institute). Modelling of Social and Economic Risks of HIV-infection in Russian Federation. |
|
1540- 1600 |
- Koloskova E.K. (Ukraine, Chernivtsy, Bukovinian State Medical University). Evaluation of Risk in Pediatrics. |
Seminar "Prognostics and System Health (Quality) Management:
Relationships to Safety & Risk", Auditorium 22, IBI
|
1600 - 1700 |
- Professor Kailash C. Kapur (USA, Seattle, University of Washington, Department Of Industrial & Systems Engineering). |
___________________________________________________________________
Friday, July 9
__________________________________________________________________
Plenary session 4, Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman N.V. Hovanov
|
1000 - 1030 |
- Utkin L.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Saint-Petersburg State Forestry Engineering Academy). New Class Conservative Non-Parametric Models of Reliability of Software on Basis of Generalization of Risk Functional. |
|
1030 - 1100 |
- Stefanishin D.V., Romanchuk E.G. (Ukraine, Rovno, International Economic Humanitarian University). Selection of Extreme Events When Designing of Dangerous Facilities with Regard to Risks of Damage (the Bayesian Approach). |
|
1100 - 1130 |
- Finkelstein M. (Germany, University of the Free State, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research), Cha J.H. (Korea, Seoul, Ewha Womans University). Burn-In For Quality Improvement In Heterogeneous Populations. |
|
1130 - 1200 |
- Naumov A.V., Bobylev I.M. (Russia, Moscow, Moscow Aviation Institute). Dual Algorithm for Searching of Guaranteeing Decision of Linear Discrete Two-Stage Task of Quantile Optimization. |
|
1200 - 1220 |
- Coffee |
|
1220 - 1250 |
- Urazaeva T.A. (Russia, Yoshkar-Ola, Mari State Technical University). The Cost Analysis of Risk of Infringement of Security Policy in Computer Networks. |
|
1250 - 1320 |
- Sokolov M.V. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, Saint-Petersburg State University). Parametric Collection of Functions Which Are Closed Relative to Admissible Transformation of Measurement Scale. |
|
1320 - 1350 |
- Tsitsiashvili G.Sh. (Russia, Vladivostok, IAM, FEB RAS). Asymptotic Analysis of Lattice Reliability. |
Section "Risk in Finance", Conference Hall, IBI
Chairman E.D. Solojentsev
|
1500-1520 |
- Afanasiev I.E. (Ukraine, Krivoy Rog, Krivoy Rog Economic Institute, Kiyv National Economic University). Economic Effect Due to Implementation of Simulation Technique of Dispersion of Dot Values of Iron Content in Mess of Maintain Substance After the Explosion. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Prokopchuk, Yu.A. (Ukraine, Dnepropetrovsk, Institute of Technical Mechanics of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Ukrainian State University of Chemical Engineering). Development of High Technologies for Risk and Efficiency Management in Natural Subject Domains. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Semenov A.T. (Russia, Novosibirsk, Novosibirsk State University of Economics and Management). About Regenerative Method of Analysis of Stochastic Systems. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Skripnik A.V., Zinchuk T.Yu. (Ukraine, Kyiv, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine). Export Oriented Economics Food Risks. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Timonin Ju. A. (Ukraine, Zhitomir, Zhitomir National Agroecological University), Timonin A. Ju. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, "Jupiter-2" company). Modelling of Economic Crisis on Method of Analogies. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Slanov V.P. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg). Logical and Probabilistic Management of Risk of Failure at Enterprise. |
|
1720 - 1740 |
- Glushchevs'ky V.V. (Ukraine, Zaporozhye, Zaporozhye State Engineering Academy). Theoretical Bases of Risk Management Concept for Banking Activities. |
|
1740 - 1800 |
- Pernarivsky A.V. (Ukraine, Irpen, National University of Ukrainian State Tax Administration). Optimization of Deposit Portfolio of Bank's Depositor as Method of Risk-Management. |
|
1800 |
- Closing Of Scientific School MA SR - 2010 (Conference Hall, IBI). |
Section "Risk in Engineering and Ecology", Auditorium 22, IBI
Chairman I.A. Ryabinin
|
1500 - 1520 |
- Kharkovoy A.A., Titov A.V. (Russia, Moscow, National Research Nuclear University). Fault Prediction Using Hidden Marcovian Models. |
|
1520 - 1540 |
- Pavlov A.N. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg, SPII RAS). Research of Non-Monotone Systems: Analysis of "Bridge" Structure. |
|
1540 - 1600 |
- Albeanu G. (Romania, Bucharest, Spiru Haret University), Burtschy B. (France, Paris, TELECOM ParisTech, INFRES), Popentiu-Vladicescu Fl. (Romania, Bihor, University of Oradea, Academy of Romanian Scientists), Duda G.I. (Romania, Bucharest, Spiru Haret University). Intuitionistic Fuzzy Methods In Optimal Software Reliability Allocation. |
|
1600 - 1620 |
- Stefanishin D.V., Stefanishina Yu.D. (Ukraine, Rovno, Institute of Telecommunication and Global Information Space of NAS). A Method for Forecasting of Expected Annual Damage on Basis of Time Series Analysis and Fuzzy Modeling. |
|
1620 - 1640 |
- Break |
|
1640 - 1700 |
- Albu R.-D., Tarca R.C. (Romania, Bihor, University of Oradea), Burtschy B. (France, Paris, TELECOM ParisTech, INFRES), Popentiu-Vladicescu Fl. (Romania, Bihor, University of Oradea, Academy of Romanian Scientists). A Robust Face Recognition Algorithm. |
|
1700 - 1720 |
- Losev E.A. (Russia, Saint-Petersburg). Base Variant of LPA and Its Some Potential Possibilities. |
|
1800 |
- Closing Of Scientific School MA SR - 2010 (Conference Hall, IBI). |
ORGANIZING COMMITTEE ADDRESS
IPME RAS, Bolshoi pr., 61. V.O.
199178, St.Petersburg, RUSSIA
Tel.: 7(812)3214766 Fax.: 7(812)3214771
Evgueni Solojentsev - chairman
Vasily Karasev - secretary
E_mail: adm@inotel.org, inorisk@gmail.com .
http://www.ipme.ru/ipme/labs/iisad/sapr1.htm
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Saint-Petersburg's Sights
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Nikolsky Sea Cathedral |
Broach of the Petropavlovsky Cathedral |
Temple of the Christ's Resurrection in morning sunlight |
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The Bell Tower of the Nikolsky Sea Cathedral |
Mariinsky Theater, 1894 - 1895. |
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